How many leads do I need to hit my revenue target?
Work backwards: divide your monthly revenue target by your average project value to get clients needed, divide that by your lead-to-client close rate to get qualified leads, then divide by your reply-to-conversation rate to get the number of buying-intent posts you need to actually see. For a €6,000 month at €2,500 a project, a 15% close rate and a 35% reply rate, that is 2.4 clients, 16 qualified leads and 46 posts seen — 11 a week.
What is a realistic close rate for a freelancer?
Most service businesses land between 10% and 25% from qualified lead to signed client, and inbound-shaped leads — people who asked publicly and got a helpful answer — sit at the top of that band rather than the bottom. Cold outbound typically runs far lower. If you have your own number from the last two quarters, use it; it beats any benchmark.
How many replies turn into a real conversation?
On public social channels, expect roughly a quarter to a half of genuinely helpful replies to produce a back-and-forth, and the variance is driven mostly by thread age. Replies posted while a thread is still fresh do far better than replies posted after the asker has a shortlist, which is why speed matters more than polish.
Is it better to get more leads or convert better?
Conversion, almost always, and by a wide margin. Doubling a 15% close rate to 30% halves every number upstream of it, while doubling lead volume doubles the hours. Volume is the expensive lever; the cheap ones are replying faster, replying to better-qualified posts, and following up once.
Why does the calculator show a weekly number?
Because monthly targets hide the behaviour that produces them. "Thirteen buying-intent posts a week" is something you can check against reality on a Wednesday and correct in time; "fifty-two a month" is something you discover you missed on the 30th.
What if the number it gives me looks impossible?
Then it has done its job, and the fix is usually not more hours. Three levers change the answer far more than effort does: raise your average project value, improve close rate by replying faster and more selectively, or widen coverage so more qualifying posts exist to be seen. The last one is usually the real constraint — most people are watching four rooms and need fifteen.